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Weather permitting, Julio Teheran will try to get back on the right track against Reds

Julio had a rough go of it on the AL side of Ohio. He’ll be trying to get things under control on the NL side of the Buckeye State.

Atlanta Braves v Cleveland Indians - Game One Photo by Ron Schwane/Getty Images

Before we really get into talking about what might happen in tonight’s rubber match between the Braves and the Reds, we’re going to talk about what will happen tonight.

Yeah, the weather is going to be an issue all night. Unless they’re planning on keeping everybody at the ballpark all night so that they can find a window to get this game played out, then I’d be looking out for a postponement in the near future.

With that being said, the Reds sure are operating as if they’re planning on playing this game tonight, so I guess we better follow their lead here. If this game does get played, then this will be prime time for Julio Teheran to try to right the ship. His past three starts have been hit-or-miss, with the hit being sandwiched between two misses. If the pattern holds, then hopefully we’ll see Julio get deep into a game without getting into any major trouble along the way.

On the other hand, this could also be a recipe for disaster. Julio Teheran’s last start in Cincinnati was back in 2017 and it didn’t go well at all. He gave up 11 hits and seven earned runs against the Reds and didn’t get past the fifth inning. Under normal circumstances, that would put your team in a hole, but the Braves (in 2017!) already had 11 runs at that point so they were able to hold on to win after Julio left. Julio had a GSv2 of 15 in a game where he was credited with a Win, which should tell you that you should never take the Pitcher Win stat seriously.

Anyways, we all want to see Julio avoid that destiny, but Cincinnati’s fourth and fifth hitters in their lineup have historically had a great amount of success against him. Derek Dietrich has hit two homers and two doubles in 36 career plate appearances against Julio Teheran, along with six walks. Then he’ll have to deal with Yasiel Puig, who is currently sporting a 1.667 OPS against Julio over 15 plate appearances. If Julio is going to avoid a repeat of the time when he got battered in Cincinnati, then he’ll have to keep those two in particular from doing major damage against him.

While we’re mostly hoping for Julio Teheran to at least avoid a calamitous start, the Reds will be looking forward to what could be another strong start from Luis Castillo. He’s gotten off to a great start to the season so far and in terms of fWAR over five starts, he’s up there with the likes of Max Scherzer, Trevor Bauer, James Paxton and Marcus Stroman. Needless to say, if Castillo continues in that vein of form then this could be a rough night for the Braves at the plate.

This would be a good time for Castillo to do what he did the last time he saw the Braves, which is only go four innings while giving up four runs in the process. That’s what happened when Luis Castillo faced off against the Braves at SunTrust Park last season. Castillo has been pretty good at home, so it’ll take a great effort from the Braves offense in order to get him out of the game early.

So if the game does get played tonight, we’re going to have an interesting one on our hands. Can Julio Teheran turn things around in a ballpark that wasn’t nice to him the last time he was here? Will the Braves be able to do damage against Luis Castillo? Will the rain even allow this game to be played? We’ll find out tonight.

Game Info

Game Date/Time: Thursday, April 25, 6:40 p.m. ET

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

TV: Fox Sports Southeast


Radio: 680 AM / 93.7 FM The Fan, Rock 100.5, Braves Radio Network

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