FanPost

Braves Trade Deadline Targets: Cincinnati Reds

With the Trade Deadline just a few days away, I've decided to go team by team to look at some trades that could make sense for the Braves. Let me know in the comments below what you think.

Cincinnati Reds(38-60, 0.0% Playoff Odds)

After back to back winning seasons in 2020 and 2021, the Reds decided over the offseason to partially tear down the team by trading OF Jesse Winker, 3B Eugenio Suarez, and SP Sonny Gray. They also traded OF Tyler Naquin and LHP Phillip Diehl to the Mets on Thursday. This just furthers their apparent decision to go into deep rebuild mode, even with all the young pitching talent like Hunter Greene, Nick Lodolo, and Graham Ashcraft to go along with top trade candidates Luis Castillo(who actually just got traded) and Tyler Mahle.

Braves Get: SP Tyler Mahle

Reds Get: SP Kyle Muller, OF Jesse Franklin, and SP Tucker Davidson

I was gonna start with Luis Castillo but right as I started writing this he got trade to the Seattle Mariners, who now have a very formidable rotation for the playoffs. But Tyler Mahle is still a very intriguing option as someone who still has another year of control after this season, and has really been a solid pitcher the last 3 seasons going 19-15, with a 3.95 ERA and 3.81 FIP, along with 10.41 SO/9 over 326 IP. His numbers this season don't look great as he has a 4.48 ERA over 18 starts, but a lot of that is A) Bad luck as he hasn't given up very hard contact, he's in the 56% in EV, and 61% in hardhit%. Then B) He has a 4.94/5.06 2022/career ERA with a 4.54/5.11 FIP at Great American Ball Park, while on the road he has a 3.83/3.74 ERA, and a 2.67/3.52 FIP so he's much better on the road, and maybe a change of scenery would make him even better.

So though I don't think the trade package will be as much as the Mariners had to pay for Castillo, which was their No. 1, 3, 5, and another prospect, I still think it would take 3 of our top 10-15 prospects, especially with how weak our system is and Mahle's extra year of control. With Castillo and Mahle traded I think Muller and Davidson would each be able to pitch in the back half of Cincinnati's rotation right away and Davidson could even find himself pitching high leverage innings in the Reds bullpen. With Franklin also added to the package, I think that would be enough to get Mahle from the Reds. The Reds are a bit thin in outfield prospects and there's a good chance a couple of their major league outfielders being traded in the next couple of days, so Franklin could find himself in the majors before too long.

Braves Get: UTL Brandon Drury

Reds Get: SP Adam Shoemaker and RP William Woods

I could definitely see the Braves going after both Mahle and Brandon Drury in the same trade and then just add Adam Shoemaker and William Woods to the package. Drury has by far been the Reds best hitter this season hitting .271/.332/.512, with an .844 OPS, and 19 HR, and the good thing about him is that he can play every infield position plus left field. Drury is a free agent after this season and is having by far the best season of his career which shouldn't make the cost too high. I think 2 mid tier prospects should be enough to get him, if the Reds wanted more I don't think Anthopolous would go for it, but he would be a very intriguing guy for the Braves as he could fill both the 2B and LF holes while also providing a lot of pop.

Braves Get: OF Tommy Pham or UTL Kyle Farmer

Reds Get: SP Huascar Ynoa and maybe OF Greyson Jenista

Both Tommy Pham and Kyle Farmer I think have similar value as guys who are having similar years and could just add some extra depth. Tommy Pham is a pretty solid hitter that could platoon with Eddie Rosario as he has a career 12.3% BB%, and has hit 11 home runs this season. Pham is way past his prime at 34, but he has hit .290 this season versus lefties so could be a cheap 3rd or 4th outfielder that also has an option for next year. The Reds have had a lot of bullpen struggles, so the Braves could send them Huascar Ynoa and see if the Reds can fix him. Kyle Farmer is also a lety killer slashing .341/.416/.614/1.030 versus southpaws in 2022 so I think he could be an improvement over Cano or Arcia. Both of these guys should command about the same package, but Pham might be a bit more expensive as he has an option for another year while Farmer is a pure rental.

One of Pham, Farmer, or Drury could also be included in a possible Tyler Mahle trade as they are all very cheap so they shouldn't add much of a package.

Let me know what you think of these below!

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